Make soccer edges predictable.

PitchEdge blends xG-driven pricing, market weighting, and live line checks to surface totals, Asian handicap, and 1X2 edges across all leagues.

Open PitchEdge See the models

Today’s Market Snapshot Live Edge Scan

Leagues

180+

Markets

Totals / AH / 1X2

Edge Threshold

+2.0%

Deploy-ready analytics for multi-league soccer without cross-sport noise.

PitchEdge Engine

Purpose-built for soccer. We don’t recycle basketball logic. Every model is calibrated for goal distributions, draw behavior, and league tempo.

Fair price vs book price with de-vig weighting and sharp-book bias.

Opening → current → model line for totals and Asian lines.

Separate draw modeling to keep 1X2 pricing honest.

xG Poisson Core — team xG distributions feed totals + scoreline probabilities.

Home/Away Adjusters — travel, rest, and opponent strength weighted by league tempo.

Market Calibration — odds de-vig + book weights to avoid stale lines.

Draw Control — draws modeled explicitly, not as leftovers.

Asian Handicap Layer — line-to-score mapping with quarter-goal splits.

Totals — O/U derived from scoreline distribution.

1X2 — win/draw probabilities from xG splits.

Asian Handicap — fair prices per handicap line.

BTTS — optional add-on using scored/allowed xG.

Match totals, team totals, alt lines.

Quarter/half lines with fair price mapping.

Win/draw/lose with draw-corrected edges.

BTTS, double chance, draw no bet.